Country Risk and Cross-Border Risk exposure

July 24, 2023

Introduction

The bank at its Group level must quantify, control and monitor the risk of lending within specific countries and territories. Controls must be in place to manage both, Country Risk, i.e., the economic risk associated with a specific country and Cross-Border Risk arising from lending to an entity located in a different country/territory and/or lending in a foreign currency.

To control and monitor Country Risk exposure and Cross-Border Risk exposure against the agreed caps and to enable reporting that provides management, stakeholders and regulators with geographic view of the Group’s aggregate credit risk exposure.

In this article, we will consider the challenges and benefits of the implementation of the Country Risk reporting, such as:

  1. Definitions of Country Risk and Cross-Border Risk with examples
  2. Key challenges that need to be addressed
  3. Benefits coming from the implementation of Country Risk reporting.

Definitions

Country risk

Country risk quantifies exposure to the economic risk of a specific country or territory based on underlying factors including politics, economic policies and management, production, etc.

Example: Country of Risk considers payment and performance and will typically be determined by the primary repayment source of facility or where the specific entity generates most of its operating revenues.

Cross-Border Risk

Cross-Border Risk measures the risk associated with capital controls (transfer), enforcement (nationalisation and expropriation) and FX (convertibility and redenomination) risk when lending from one country or territory to an entity located in a different country or territory and/or lending to an in=country/territory entity in a foreign currency.

Country Risk and Cross-Border Risk are related but have different underlying characteristics thus, they should be treated separately.

Example: A typical example of Cross-Border Risk is where an exposure in one specific country is booked to the same country, but in currency different than the local or is booked to the different country incorporated entity, regardless of the facility currency.

Challenges

As a result of different approach and methodology, Country Risk reporting can be fragmented across different regions and jurisdiction which can lead to different standards in the way Country Risk is reported and managed.

No overarching framework or a formally agreed approach to country risk management sets the list of challenges that needs to be formulated:

A comprehensive country risk framework should not only be limited to credit risk, but needs also cover market risk, retail credit risk, treasury risk and operational risk.

Benefits

Implementation

Implementation requires multi-dimensional engagement with different stakeholders and teams, as well as flexible approach to make the requirements fully understood, translated into technical language and adopted in timely manner. Key elements of implementations are as follows:

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